IPI Global Observatory
Analysis on global issues
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Latest posts
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Yemen’s Conflict Needs a Political Solution—and the UN Needs to Be Positioned to Find It
Over the past month, Yemen’s conflict has escalated once again, ending a period of relative calm that had prevailed since the 2022 truce. The renewed fighting between the government of Yemen and the Houthis (also known as Ansar Allah), Houthi cross-border attacks on Saudi…
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Illusory Ceasefires? The Dangers of Abusing a Valuable Diplomatic Concept
In the recurring cycle of ceasefires and open hostilities unfolding over the past year, we can be forgiven for feeling confused about the difference between the two. Reports indicate that since the ceasefire agreement of October 10, 2025, over 1,400 Palestinians and at least…
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What Did World Leaders Say about Climate in the 2026 UN General Assembly?
Every September, leaders from around the globe descend on New York to address the UN General Assembly. This year’s debate, held from September 22nd to 28th, featured speeches from 191 of the 193 UN member states (all but Afghanistan and Myanmar), as well as both observer states…
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It’s Time for Policymakers to Set Bottom Lines on Protecting Civilians in Armed Conflict
The world is confronting a stark rise in violence against civilians. In 2025, almost 76,500 civilian deaths were recorded due to one-sided violence—the highest number since the Rwandan genocide. This grim toll reflects the flouting of international law on a massive scale. In the…
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CARICOM Has a Great-Power Problem
For more than five decades, Caribbean Community (CARICOM) member states have sought to turn their vulnerability as small states into collective strength. That effort is now under strain—perhaps like never before. The second Trump administration is prompting the bloc’s 14…
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Why the Security Council Is Unprepared for AI-Enabled Conflict
On September 23, 2026, the chief executives of OpenAI, Anthropic, and Hugging Face took seats at the UN Security Council. They were participating in a high-level briefing on artificial intelligence (AI) and international security convened by France during the General Assembly’s…
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Design a Consultation Process for the People of Afghanistan
A broad-based political process is an essential element of a stable peace for Afghanistan. The Security Council recognized this in its refocused mandate for the UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA) in June 2026. This mandate tasks the mission with facilitating dialogue…
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The Transition of Aid Coordination in Nigeria Is a Major Test for the Humanitarian Community
The precipitous decline in funding for humanitarian assistance has made headlines around the world. In Nigeria, reports indicate that reductions in the delivery of food assistance, nutrition programming, and health services have already affected hundreds of thousands of people.…
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From Symbolic to Transformative Recognition: Advancing Palestinian Sovereignty
During the UN General Assembly in September 2025, a wave of countries—including Australia, Canada, France, Portugal, and the United Kingdom—officially recognized the State of Palestine, joining the 147 UN member states that had already done so.[1] Driven by mounting pressure to…
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The Next UN Secretary-General Will Inherit a System Unfit for the Next Complex Global Shock
On September 16th, the UN released its second Global Risk Report, asking 1,300 people across government, business, civil society, and the UN system what stands in the way of managing 28 global risks. The most common answer was weak governance or coordination mechanisms, ahead of…