Bite-Sized Economics
Bite-Sized Economics
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Latest posts
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What is going on with the Japanese yen?
On August 1, the US and Japan conducted a coordinated FX intervention to support the value of the yen. FX intervention is not unusual when it comes to the yen – Japan’s Ministry of Finance (MOF) has officially conducted ...
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Everybody Loves Ray-tes on Hold
While I was watching Kevin Warsh’s press conference following the FOMC 28-29 July meeting, my partner asks me, “Isn’t that the show? The one where the mother always comes over?”
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The puzzle of China's oil demand - Separating oil from the facts
For much of the Iran war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, it has been somewhat surprising that oil prices have not been higher. Even now, after the collapse of the Memorandum of Understanding between Iran and the...
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China’s Crossroads on the World Stage
Summits among big countries get a lot of attention, but they have generally been all about show rather than substance.
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How to make sense of what is going on in financial markets
As the old saying goes, “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes”.
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The problem with thinking the Strait will be open soon
I am no military or war expert.
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How to read the US Economy
With the US government shutdown ending, we will finally receive a raft of economic data, to help gauge a picture of the US economy. With Trump’s policies impacting the economy over the year, more information couldn’t com...
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China’s Still Loved up on Infrastructure
A few weeks ago, China celebrated the opening of Huajiang Grand Canyon Bridge. It is the world’s tallest bridge at 200-storeys, according to the state-owned media publication, the Global Times. The bridge also features a...
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Is Inflation Transitory Once Again?
I know I’m stating the obvious when I say that the monetary policy debate has been dominated by central bank independence.
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Tarrifying Times
What should we make of the announcement by Trump to pause the tariffs on China by another 90 days? Relief? Another example of ‘taco’, the idea that Trump will constantly u-turn on trade policy?
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Takeaways from Last Week's US Jobs Report
There’s been so much to say over the past week or so in financial markets, that it’s hard to work out the noise from what is really important. I’m in the process of three articles at the moment - I’ll admit, I’m distract...
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Is Japan’s government debt in trouble?
For years, decades even, Japan’s interest rates have been at rock bottom lows. So it’s a big deal that 30-year Japanese bond yields poked above 3% and hit their highest since the early 2000s.
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Are US Treasuries no longer a safe haven?
In all the chaos of the past few weeks in the world of financial markets, the most alarming development has been the rise in US bond yields, even while stock markets plummeted and risk aversion skyrocketed.
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How China and the US could both win from the trade war
“I have repeatedly said Chinese people’s rice bowls should be firmly held in our own hands, never let others take us by the throat on eating, which is a basic survival issue.”
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What could Trump want with tariffs
I’ll admit, I was wrong.
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From US Exceptionalism to Recession?
How quickly a narrative can change.
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Certainty about Uncertainty
Can we gain more certainty about uncertainty? Apparently so.
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What tariffs would really mean for the global economy
Welcome to the first piece of 2025. I hope it has been a restful festive season, because already, 2025 is proving to be eventful.
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Is the stimulus all bark and no bite?
Today, economic data from China has been once again, underwhelming.
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How to Analyze a Trump trade
I’m not sure how others remember the first Trump presidency.