William M. Briggs
Statistician to the Stars!
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Latest posts
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The Solution To Evolution
Calm Sunshine of the Mind Outside of politics, there are fewer more contentious subjects than “evolution”. I bring good news: there is no such thing as evolution; it is like…
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Class 99: Entropy Part I
Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. Pease don’t feel like you must. Yet, I have…
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Book Update: Launch Date
If nothing changes, then the book will be available in all the usual places on Sunday, 22 November 2026. The Sunday before Thanksgiving. If I’ve pressed all the right buttons.…
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Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism Manifesto
You can read along with me here. He opens: For most of the history of life on Earth, death has been treated as inevitable. Every organism is born, struggles briefly…
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Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With Personality
Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. Pease don’t feel like you must. Yet, I have…
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I’m Thinking Of A Number Between 1 and 5 (that you can’t guess)
All my old Broken Science videos have gone missing, but I got lucky and was able to recover this one (I saved the Hillsdale speech from the beginning). Alas, though…
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Against Numerology: Some Basic Calculations
The simple reason to distrust numerology is that there are so many numbers that there are bound to be meaningless coincidences between them and the world. Indeed, since the store…
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Class 97: The Goal Of Models
Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. Pease don’t feel like you must. Yet, I have…
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Book Update
The highly hotly hoped for (well, by me) second edition of the award-eligible sure-to-be some-seller Everything You Believe Is Wrong is nearing completion. That is to say, it was done.…
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Sexual Assault Galore At Cornell
You may have heard of the depressing contretemps at Cornell of late (written in the lady’s (a hotelie) own words here, but I cannot recommended reading it). It is not…
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Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?
The simple answer to today’s titular question is no, Bayesianism cannot quantify true belief. This answer will disappoint the Effective Altruists, Rationalists, many professional statisticians, a score of others, and…
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Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save Us
Here, in one place, a compilation of anti-hysteria AI articles, well designed to soothes souls, provide calm, and gain insight, all by proving computer models will never come alive, never…
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Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?
I received this very thoughtful criticism on a Class video at YouTube, which I take to be most kind, and found it important enough to answer here. I love these…
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Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” Abortions
Academic philosophers Alberto Giubilini and Francesca Minerva have written a peer-reviewed paper in which they say that killing newborns is A-OK, and even in some cases to be encouraged. Their “After-birth abortion:…
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Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the Ants
Isaac Asimov in The Naked Sun, one of his many robot-mystery books, wrote that the minds of his positronic-brained robots (unlike our forever-dumb switch-brained computers) were “Logical but not reasonable.”…