The Soufan Center
World Class Investigative Methodologies
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Latest posts
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Inconclusive Israeli Election Fuels Regional Uncertainty
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu defied predictions by polling organizations and pundits that his Likud Party-led coalition would suffer a crushing defeat at the polls on Tuesday, decisively ending his nearly uninterrupted 17-year reign as the country’s top leader. With…
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The Continued Threat Posed by Aviation-Focused Terrorism
The attempted attack aboard FlyDubai Flight FZ1073 on September 30, 2026, from Dubai to Tel Aviv illustrates a consequential form of contemporary terrorism: violence initiated from within a protected security perimeter by a radicalized individual possessing insider access,…
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Washington Postures for Potential Escalation in the Conflict with Iran
Iranian leaders are working to deter U.S. President Donald Trump from following through on his threats to conduct a “short but intense” U.S. air campaign on Iran after the midterm elections on Tuesday. High-level Iranian officials have painted Iran’s intended retaliation in…
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What Kidal Portends: JNIM, Islamic State, and the Sahelian Security Landscape
More than five months after Malian government forces and the Russian mercenary group Africa Corps were forced out of Kidal in Mali’s northern desert region by anti-junta forces — a combination of Tuareg separatists and jihadists aligned with al-Qaeda — a joint governmental force…
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Netanyahu’s Fate Hangs in the Balance
Israeli voters go to the polls today in what will be a referendum on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his hard-right Likud Party. Netanyahu has held his post for almost all of the period since 2009, with only a brief interruption during 2021-22. He was also prime minister…
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Egypt Moves to the Center of Regional Dynamics
Egypt has long been confined to the periphery of Middle East politico-military strategy by the wealthier Arab Gulf states and by Israel. Cairo has, for decades, concentrated primarily on managing its internal politics and economic setbacks, while calibrating its regional…
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Understanding Illicit Political Finance to Counter State Threats
In 2024, Western governments warned that Russia was actively interfering in Moldova’s elections, seeking to prevent the re-election of pro-European Union politicians. This interference targeted Moldova’s political system from multiple angles, including covertly funding political…
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The U.S. Deepens its Military Footprint in Latin America
On September 24, Ecuadorian law enforcement and military forces conducted a targeted raid across Guayaquil and several coastal southwestern cities like Daule, Machala, Vinces, Babahoyo, Ventanas, and Puebloviejo, targeting a drug trafficking network suspected of having strong…
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As The Youth Radicalization Crisis Spreads, International Coordination is Required
The involvement of young people in both violent extremism and extreme violence is increasing. Adolescents are radicalized online in an expedited manner through a loosely networked set of online communities. The process that once took months can, thanks to algorithms and the…
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Middle East on Edge as Prospects for Renewed Warfare Increase
Regional leaders, including those directly involved in U.S.-Iran mediation, are girding for a resumption of warfare and warning their citizens to hunker down. The prospects for a U.S.-Iran diplomatic settlement have faded, replaced by threats and reported preparations for…
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The Emerging Need to Protect Critical Infrastructure and VIPs from Weaponized AI Drone Threats
Consumer generative artificial intelligence (GEN AI) readily provides non-state actors, extremists, and criminals the ability to program consumer drones for autonomous flight and object (pattern) targeting for weaponization purposes. Proof-of-concept activities I directed at C/O…