Evil Speculator
Bent on market domination.
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Latest posts
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QQQ Is Hiding A Pile-Up
QQQ closed Friday at $690, roughly 1.6% above its blue 200-day SMA, after a 3.5% flush. Which means every dip-buying thread on the internet now has a chart to point at. Index on the big line. Buy the level. Simple. Except the index hides what actually happened Friday. Four big…
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The Binance crash had a head start
Well that didn’t take long! The past week has been full of emergency patches and breaches, and it was only a matter of time until it was crypto’s turn. Binance just got hacked for roughly $6.3 billion. What the headline doesn’t cover is the timing. The market cracked first, and…
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The worst print reaction since 2004
Alphabet doubled cloud revenue and still got almost 13% knocked off the stock in a single session. It closed at $283, about 1% above its three-month low. Anyone who bought it for the cloud story was looking was buying the narrative. The market is deciding on cash flow. Desks are…
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The Fed Is Just the Opening Act
The Fed announces at 2pm ET, it’s the most telegraphed decision of the year, and the market has treated it as settled for weeks. Which makes the FOMC the opening act – the actual verdict on this market gets delivered after the close, when Microsoft and Alphabet report. The…
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Bitcoin gets the penthouse, alts get the bill.
Somebody is paying for Bitcoin’s floor this month. Take a guess who. BTC is down about 5%. SOL is down about 18%. Same market, same macro backdrop, same Fed meeting tomorrow at 2pm. If the Fed were the variable, those two numbers would match. That is a thirteen-point gap, and…
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$200bn Of Capex And This Week Is The Audit
The easy part of the AI trade is over. Anybody can write a check for $200 billion. This week the three biggest names in the trade have to stand in front of the class and show what the money actually earned. One of them is guiding to $195B-$205B of capex for 2026. Another is…
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Stop watching BTC. Watch ETH.
So far BTC has held. Everything else didn’t. Now if your first reaction to that sentence is relief, we need to talk. Because that is the exact false comfort this market is serving right now. Everyone with a seed phrase is staring at the same two lines this weekend: $80K below,…
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Don’t Sell This Put
For the past two years the only question the market asked about AI spending was how big the number could get. Like a dog with a frisbee, the answer was always: MORE. This week bullish exuberance and greed finally gave way to cold hard reality. Investors are starting to ask who…
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The ETF Bid Can’t Get Past The Bouncer
Here is the part that doesn’t make it into the ETF flow tweet: a billion dollars just showed up, and it changed nothing. Three days of fresh inflows, all of it marching into the same wall at $85k, and the sellers didn’t flinch, didn’t move the offer, didn’t even look up. The big…
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Holding TSLA or META Into Earnings? Read This First.
The market wasn’t paying for promises this morning. It asked for proof of funds, and the AI complex couldn’t produce any. The premarket bid is gone, the gap faded at the open, and TSLA and META now report after the close with the sector already on the back foot. The catalyst for…
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Thinking About BTC? Put the Beer Down.
I know exactly what you’re doing right now. It’s football season Sunday. Trading volume is thinner than a gas station hot dog, and somewhere between your third beer and a doom-scroll, you decided Bitcoin looks promising at $82k. You’re about to pull the financial equivalent of…